Cape Coral vs Durham: which should you move to?

Down, on every count that exists, though no FBI or state count covers 2025. On the FBI CDE's figures violent offenses fell from 403 in 2022 to 277 in 2023, about 185 and 122 per 100,000 on each year's Vintage 2025 population, and January to October 2024 brought 236, which at that pace would be about 2023's level. FDLE's incident-based file, which counts somewhat differently (its forcible sex offenses include fondling, and its assault totals run higher), shows the same direction: 420 violent offenses in 2022, 357 in 2023 and 243 in 2024, about 104 per 100,000 in the last year, and property offenses from 2,555 in 2023 to 1,980 in 2024. For 2025 there is only the department's own word: it reported overall crime down 28% in the first half of the year, 1,487 cases against 2,076, with thefts down from 850 to 612 and no homicides (Cape Coral Police Department), and its 2025 annual report claims a 28% reduction for the year and calls the city the second-safest in Florida of those over 150,000, without publishing the counts behind either. The CDE counts were read on 2 October 2026 from a feed last refreshed on 15 September, and why the department's data stop at October 2024 was not found.

What the rates cover: Computed: 277 violent offenses (murder, rape, robbery and aggravated assault) in the FBI Crime Data Explorer's summarized data for the Cape Coral Police Department (ORI FL0360200) in calendar 2023, divided by the 227,458 Vintage 2025 estimate for July 2023; on the CDE's own agency population of 228,672 the rate is 121. 2023 is used, not the 2025 the other Florida profiles use, because it is the last calendar year the FBI carries in full for this department: the CDE has every month of 2022 and 2023, January to October 2024, and nothing from November 2024 on, and the Florida Department of Law Enforcement's incident-based (FIBRS) offense file, the state system that feeds the FBI, has the department for every month of 2022 to 2024 and not at all for 2025 or 2026. No FBI rate exists for 2025, as for Orlando after 2022. On 2023's figure Cape Coral has the lowest violent crime rate of the Florida cities this site compares, a little below Port St. Lucie's 130 for 2025, a third of Miami's 359 and a quarter of St. Petersburg's 502.

Homicides: 2 murders and nonnegligent manslaughters in 2023 in the FBI CDE, about 0.9 per 100,000 on the city population. The CDE series is 4 in 2022, 2 in 2023 and 5 in January to October 2024; FDLE's file has 4, 4 and 5 for the three full years. The department reported no homicides in the first half of 2025, against three in the first half of 2024 (Cape Coral Police Department). Port St. Lucie had 4 in 2025, St. Petersburg 9 and Tampa 17.

Down in 2025 to the lowest violent count since the department began reporting incident-based data. On the FBI CDE's figures violent offenses were 2,054 in 2019, 2,454 in 2020, 2,181 in 2021, 1,978 in 2022, 1,890 in 2023, 1,865 in 2024 and 1,557 in 2025, about 640, 620 and 510 per 100,000 in the last three years on each July's Vintage 2025 population, so 2025 was 16.5% below 2024; the department reported a 16.9% fall on its own counts, led by aggravated assaults (down 21.5%) and robberies (down 9.2%). Property offenses fell to a low of 9,570 in 2022, rose to a peak of 11,447 in 2024 with the surge in vehicle thefts, and fell 3.4% in 2025. The SBI's summaries show the 2023 and 2024 figures within a few offenses (1,888 and 1,862 violent). The FBI series needs care in two places. The CDE lists the department as reporting incident-based (NIBRS) data from 1 January 2019, and its 2018 counts (1,963 violent, 9,790 property) come before that, so 2018 is not used. And its August 2026 row is plainly incomplete, 80 violent and 597 property offenses against 147 and 1,066 in August 2025, so 2026 is compared through July: January to July brought 939 violent offenses against 906 in the same months of 2025, up 3.6%, and 5,862 property offenses against 6,251, down 6.2%. The rise matches what the City said early in the year: by mid-February 2026, 22 people had been shot in Durham and seven had died, and the mayor called youth crime out of control (WRAL). The CDE counts were read on 5 October 2026 from a feed last refreshed on 15 September and can still be revised; the SBI's 2025 summary had not been published.

What the rates cover: Computed: 1,557 violent offenses (murder, rape, robbery and aggravated assault) in the FBI Crime Data Explorer's summarized data for the Durham Police Department (ORI NC0320100) in calendar 2025, divided by the 305,561 Vintage 2025 city population; on the CDE's own agency population of 307,140 the rate is 507. That is about one and a half times the CDE's 2025 rate for reporting North Carolina agencies (331 per 100,000) and for the nation (329). Of the four North Carolina cities this site compares it is second, below Greensboro's 705 and Charlotte's 607 (on CMPD's own count) and above Raleigh's 396, and among the US cities here it sits in the middle, close to Jacksonville's 514 and Boston's 507. Among the state's largest city police departments on the CDE's 2025 counts and populations it is sixth of seven, below Winston-Salem's 744, Greensboro's 702, Fayetteville's 614, Charlotte-Mecklenburg's 559 and High Point's 521 and above Raleigh's 395. The North Carolina State Bureau of Investigation's most recent annual summary, for 2024 (published October 2025), counts 1,862 violent offenses for the department that year, three fewer than the FBI's 1,865, about 619 per 100,000, sixth of the thirteen city departments in its table of the state's largest agencies. The department's own year-end report counts 1,529 violent crimes in 2025, 28 fewer than the FBI: 39 homicides, 150 rapes, 433 robberies and 907 aggravated assaults, against the FBI's 33, 161, 443 and 920.

Homicides: 33 murders and nonnegligent manslaughters in 2025 in the FBI CDE, about 10.8 per 100,000 on the city population, against the CDE's 6.5 for North Carolina and 4.3 for the nation, and against Greensboro's 37 (12.0 per 100,000), Raleigh's 25 (4.9) and Charlotte's 96 (about 10). The CDE series is 37 in 2019, 37 in 2020, 46 in 2021, 42 in 2022, 47 in 2023, 36 in 2024 and 33 in 2025. The department's own count is higher and flat: 39 homicides in 2025 and 39 in 2024, 48 in 2023, with 28 of the 2025 killings by gun against 34 in 2024, and it cleared 89.7% of them, against 69.2% in 2024 (Durham Police Department; WRAL). Nothing read explains the six-homicide gap between the department's 2025 count and the FBI's.

BLS counted 311,300 nonfarm jobs in the Cape Coral-Fort Myers MSA in August 2026 (not seasonally adjusted, preliminary), up 1,500 or 0.5% on the year. Private education and health services (+1,500, or 2.8%, to 55,400) and leisure and hospitality (+1,500, or 3.8%, to 41,200) added the most, then professional and business services (+1,100, or 2.5%, to 45,900), while government lost 2,400 (-7.8%, to 28,500), all of it in local government (down 10.6% to 20,300), and mining, logging and construction 300 (to 40,900). The city's own employment picture is a commuter town's: the ten principal employers in its 2025 financial report, led by the school district (2,563), Lee Health (2,015), the City (1,969) and Publix (1,370), employ 10,442, about 9.5% of the people working in the city on the City's count, and the list is almost unchanged from 2016's except that a regional VA clinic and Lowe's have left it and the water park and the Westin have joined. Most residents work elsewhere: 54% of the city's workers (58,022 of 108,333) worked outside the city in 2024, though only 9.8% (10,604) outside Lee County, against 40% for Port St. Lucie. 16.3% worked from home, and the mean commute for the rest was 32 minutes, seven more than St. Petersburg's, with 11% spending an hour or more (ACS 2024 1-year, B08007, B08008, B08013, B08101 and B08303).

Main sectors: Construction and real estate: mining, logging and construction held 40,900 of the metro's 311,300 nonfarm jobs in August 2026, 13%, about twice the share in the Tampa-St. Petersburg metro, in a city still building out lots platted in the 1950s and 1960s and rebuilding after Ian; Home Depot (559) is among the city's ten largest employers, Health care: Lee Health, the county's hospital system and Cape Coral Hospital's operator, is the city's second-largest employer (2,015 staff in the city), in a metro sector (private education and health services, 55,400 jobs) that added 1,500 jobs over the year, Retail: Publix (1,370 staff in the city), Walmart and Sam's Club (700) and Home Depot, in a metro with 42,500 retail jobs, Public schools and government: the Lee County School District (2,563 staff in the city, the largest employer), the City of Cape Coral (1,969) and the City's own charter school system (371), while metro local government lost 2,400 jobs over the year, Leisure and tourism: Sun Splash Family Water Park (300) and the Westin resort (200) among the city's ten largest employers, boating on the canals, and the beaches of Sanibel and Fort Myers Beach nearby (leisure and hospitality, 41,200 metro jobs, up 3.8% on the year).

Property tax is the local levy that matters. Tax Foundation puts Florida's effective property tax rate on owner-occupied homes at 0.78%, and a homestead exemption takes as much as $50,000 off a permanent residence's taxable value, with the Save Our Homes limit on how fast its assessment can rise (Florida Department of Revenue). A house in the City of Cape Coral (Lee County taxing district 057) paid 15.3806 mills for 2025 on the Lee County Property Appraiser's millage book, of which the City's own rates are 5.1471 for operations and 0.1608 for its voted parks bond. The total is low partly because there is no fire district line: the City pays for fire service with a per-parcel assessment that, with stormwater and solid waste, comes on the same bill and is not reduced by any exemption. On 22 July 2026 the City Council voted 7 to 1 to cap the fiscal 2027 operating rate at 5.1988 mills, the rolled-back rate, on a taxable value of $33.1 billion, with final adoption set for 24 September (Gulfshore Business). The Royal Palm Coast Realtor Association's single-family median for its Cape Coral region was $389,950 in August 2026, up 6.1% from $367,500 a year earlier, while Zillow's typical home value for the city was $335,825, down 3.9%, and its observed rent $1,949; the bills, assessments, insurance and flood exposure that follow from them belong to the housing layer.

BLS counted 359,600 nonfarm jobs in the Durham-Chapel Hill MSA in August 2026 (not seasonally adjusted, preliminary), up 1,700 or 0.5% on the year. Professional and business services (+2,000, or 3.3%, to 63,300), leisure and hospitality (+1,500, or 5.1%, to 30,800), private education and health services (+800, or 1.0%, to 82,100, of which health care and social assistance is 55,500) and construction (mining, logging and construction +500, or 4.5%, to 11,700) added the most, while government lost 1,900 (-2.7%, to 68,600), state government 1,500 of it and federal government 500, manufacturing 1,000 (-3.8%, to 25,600) and transportation, warehousing and utilities 400 (to 7,800). Private education and health is 22.8% of the metro's jobs, government 19.1% and professional and business services 17.6%. The principal employer table is the City's own, from its annual comprehensive financial report for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2024, the most recent the City has posted; it counts 159,974 people employed in the city, and its ten largest employers hold 89,147 jobs, 55.7% of them. Several, IBM, Cisco, Pfizer, IQVIA and GSK, have their large sites in Research Triangle Park, outside the city limits. Its 2015 column had Duke at 35,998, IBM at 7,000 and Durham Public Schools at 4,600, with Cree and the City government on the list. Two thirds of the city's 165,719 workers worked inside it in 2024 (66.7%) and 28.3% outside Durham County, many of them in Wake County and Research Triangle Park. 20.5% worked from home, and the mean commute for the rest was 21 minutes, with 2.7% spending an hour or more (ACS 2024 1-year, B08007, B08008, B08013, B08301 and B08303).

Main sectors: Duke University and Duke Health, far the largest employer: 44,500 people in the City's latest principal employer table, 27.8% of employment in the city, and 48,313 in Duke's own July 2025 count, which includes Duke University Hospital (11,776), the schools of medicine and nursing (11,804) and Duke Regional Hospital (2,270) as well as Duke Raleigh Hospital; the State ranks Duke the fourth-largest employer in North Carolina, and private education and health services hold 82,100 of the metro's 359,600 nonfarm jobs in August 2026, more than any other supersector, Research Triangle Park, founded in 1959 between Durham and Raleigh: 7,000 acres, more than 385 companies and more than 55,000 people working there daily (Research Triangle Foundation), outside the city limits but in its labor market; IBM (9,350), Cisco (4,250), Pfizer (4,000), IQVIA (3,900) and GSK (3,100) are on the City's list of the ten largest employers, and professional and business services added 2,000 metro jobs in a year, to 63,300, the most of any sector, Insurance and finance: Blue Cross and Blue Shield of North Carolina, headquartered in Durham, is the third-largest employer on the City's list (8,245), and Fidelity Investments employs 3,600; financial activities hold 15,900 metro jobs, Government and public education: state government, which in BLS's count includes the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and North Carolina Central University, holds 41,800 metro jobs, down 1,500 on the year, and federal government 6,400, down 500; Durham Public Schools (4,697) and the Veterans Administration Medical Center (3,505) are on the City's list, Hospitality and the downtown built in old tobacco warehouses: the American Tobacco Campus, Brightleaf Square, the Durham Performing Arts Center and the Durham Bulls' ballpark (Wikipedia), with leisure and hospitality up 1,500 metro jobs in a year, or 5.1%, to 30,800, the fastest growth of any sector.

North Carolina's flat income tax rate has come down every year since 2022, to 4.25% for 2025 and 3.99% for 2026. Property tax is levied by Durham County and the City on assessed value. For 2026-27 (the bills mailed in the summer of 2026) a house in the City pays 101.63 cents per $100 of assessed value: the County's 57.92 cents, up 2.5 cents and adopted on 8 June 2026, and the City's 43.71 cents, held and adopted on 15 June, with no fire district inside the city (Durham County; City of Durham). The values are new: Durham County revalued every parcel to 100% of market value as of 1 January 2025, the first reappraisal since 2019, it drew more than 10,000 appeals, and the next is 1 January 2029. The combined rate fell from 139.49 cents in 2024-25 to 99.13 in 2025-26 as the values rose. The Department of Revenue measures how close the values sit to sale prices: on 2024 sales assessments averaged 100.23% of prices, so the bill on a house assessed like the average one is about 1.019% of its market value, about $4,331 a year on the $424,990 median sale. On the Department's 2025-26 table Durham's combined rate (99.13 cents) was below Greensboro's 140.30 and above Raleigh's 87.21 and Charlotte's 76.68, but because only Durham's values were current its effective rate, 0.9936% of market value, was the highest of the four North Carolina cities this site compares (Greensboro 0.9583%, Raleigh 0.8319%, Charlotte 0.6808%). Downtown Business Improvement District parcels pay 7 cents more. Stormwater is not on the tax bill: the City charges it on the utility bill, $5.70, $11.80 or $23.64 a month for a house by impervious area. The City says its median home, valued at $424,000, pays about $1,853 a year in City tax. The Durham Regional Association of REALTORS' Doorify MLS median sale price for the City was $424,990 in August 2026, up 3.7% on 283 sales of houses and condominiums together; Zillow's typical home value for the City, a model of every home rather than a count of sales, was $389,634, down 3.4%, and its single-family value $392,384. That fall is the steepest of the four North Carolina cities here (Raleigh's $428,671, Charlotte's $392,573, Greensboro's $263,264), and of the US cities here only Cape Coral's and Austin's fell faster. Zillow's observed rent index for the City was $1,659 a month in August, up 1.8%, second of the four North Carolina cities after Charlotte's $1,744. The bills, insurance and fees that follow from these figures belong to the housing layer.

Health care

Care is paid for through employer or marketplace insurance, Medicare and Medicaid, and Florida is one of the ten states that have not expanded Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act (KFF). Florida's uninsured rate was 10.9% in 2024, against 8.2% nationally, on the ACS 2024 1-year estimates; the City of Cape Coral's was 9.4% (21,762 of 232,206), below Lee County's 13.2% and close to Port St. Lucie's 9.9%. Hospital care in the county is Lee Health's: the system, which runs four acute care hospitals and two specialty hospitals, was a public special district until Lee County approved a mission agreement on 28 October 2024 and it became a private nonprofit, Lee Health System, Inc., on 1 November 2024, bound by that agreement to go on providing safety-net care (South Florida Hospital News). Its hospital in the city is Cape Coral Hospital, whose emergency department grew to 56 treatment spaces in January 2026, and Lee Health opened a walk-in care center at Bimini Square in south Cape Coral in late 2025 (South Florida Hospital News). Lee Health is the city's second-largest employer, with 2,015 staff in the city (City of Cape Coral). This file did not verify a bed count for Cape Coral Hospital or a wait time figure for primary or specialist care.

Education

The Lee County School District, the countywide district, counted 87,107 students in its own schools and 13,329 in charter schools in 2025-26, and lost 1,946 students from the year before, mainly to home education, private schools, other Florida districts and moves out of state or country; the zone that takes in Cape Coral was at 94% of capacity (Cape Coral Breeze). Its four high schools in the city are Cape Coral (late 1970s), Mariner (1987), Ida S. Baker (2005) and Island Coast (2008). The City runs its own municipal charter school system, the Oasis schools (Cape Coral Charter Schools on the City's employer list, 371 staff), with two elementary schools, a middle school and a high school open only to children who live in the city and charge no tuition (Wikipedia; City of Cape Coral). Higher education is across the river: Florida Gulf Coast University, established in 1991 and opened in 1997, with almost 15,000 students in 2017, and Florida SouthWestern State College, whose main campus is in Fort Myers (Wikipedia). Cape Coral Technical College, run by the school district, is in the city.

Living there

Cape Coral is a land sale that became the largest city between Tampa and Miami. In 1957 two Baltimore developers, Leonard and Jack Rosen, bought a 103-square-mile tract across the Caloosahatchee from Fort Myers for $678,000, and their Gulf American Land Corporation sold its lots at free-dinner sales events in 24 states, dug canals without state permits (which later bankrupted it) and paved streets ahead of the people (Wikipedia). The result, incorporated in 1970, is a grid of single-family houses on more than 400 miles of canals, more than any other city on earth by Wikipedia's account, some of them with access to the Gulf, and the same platted-lot history Port St. Lucie has on the other coast. It is as suburban as any of the Florida cities here: 79.2% of homes are owner-occupied, 0.2% of workers take transit, the median age is 48.0, the oldest of the seven, and more than half of its workers leave the city for work, nearly all of them for elsewhere in Lee County. It grew 21.8% from 2020 to 2025, second only to Port St. Lucie among large US cities, entirely on people moving in. Its household income, $85,584, is second to Port St. Lucie's; its violent crime rate, 122 per 100,000 in 2023, the last year the FBI has, is the lowest of the Florida cities here; and its sales tax, 6.5%, is the lowest. Its risk is the Gulf. Hurricane Ian came ashore on Cayo Costa, off Pine Island west of the city, in September 2022 at 150 mph, put 6 to 9 feet of water over the ground in Cape Coral and Pine Island, and drowned 36 people in Lee County in its surge.

Health care

Care is paid for through employer or individual private insurance, Medicare and Medicaid, and North Carolina is one of the 41 states, counting the District of Columbia, that have adopted the Medicaid expansion (KFF); the expansion covers about 740,000 people statewide. Federal and state changes narrow it: from January 1, 2027 most expansion adults aged 19 to 64 must show 80 hours a month of work, school or volunteering, or $580 a month in earnings, and renew every six months (NCDHHS). The City of Durham's uninsured rate was 8.3% in 2024 (24,892 of 300,100), against 8.6% for North Carolina and 8.2% nationally, above Raleigh's 7.1% and Greensboro's 7.5% and well below Charlotte's 12.1% (ACS 2024 1-year, B27001). Durham is a medical city built around one system. Duke University Hospital has 1,106 licensed inpatient beds (Duke Health's corporate page; its patient page says 1,062), is a Level I trauma center, opened in 1930 with 400 beds as part of James B. Duke's gift, and was ranked the 14th-best hospital in the country by Newsweek in 2025 (Wikipedia). Duke Regional Hospital in north Durham has 388 beds; it opened in 1976 as Durham County General Hospital, replacing the segregated Lincoln Hospital, for Black patients, and Watts Hospital, for white ones, which closed the same day (Wikipedia). The Durham VA Medical Center serves veterans (3,505 staff on the City's employer list), and North Carolina Specialty Hospital is a small surgical hospital with 18 licensed beds. Duke counted 11,776 employees at Duke University Hospital in July 2025. This file did not verify wait times for primary or specialist care.

Education

Durham is a university city with an unusually graduate-heavy student body. On the ACS 2024 1-year estimates 32,290 of its 290,103 residents aged 3 and over were enrolled in college (16,351 undergraduates) or graduate school (15,939), 11.1%, against 6.6% nationally and 6.7% in North Carolina; graduate students are 49% of them, against 22% nationally. Duke University, chartered in 1924 when James B. Duke's endowment expanded Trinity College, which had moved to Durham in 1892, enrolled 17,325 students in fall 2025, 6,525 undergraduates and 10,800 graduate and professional students (Duke). North Carolina Central University, which opened in 1910 and became the nation's first publicly supported liberal arts college for African Americans (Wikipedia), enrolled 9,160 in fall 2025, up 6.8% and its first time above 9,000, with 2,018 students online (NCCU), and a reported 10,124 in fall 2026, up 9.1% (HBCU Gameday). Durham Technical Community College, founded in 1961, serves nearly 20,000 students in credit and continuing education courses (Wikipedia), and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill is in the same metro. Public schools are run by Durham Public Schools, the countywide district, with 31,865 students in 2024-25 (NCES). Enrollment is falling: the district's day-20 count in fall 2025 was 30,172, down from 31,188 a year earlier and its largest drop since the pandemic, against a peak of 33,651 in 2014, while Durham residents in charter schools rose from 7,641 to 8,288 in 2024-25 and about 2,400 Durham students received Opportunity Scholarships, the state's private school vouchers (INDY Week; 9th Street Journal).

Living there

Durham is the Bull City, a tobacco town named for its most famous brand, Bull Durham, and built by the Duke family's American Tobacco Company, whose fortune founded Duke University and Duke Power (Wikipedia). It is also where Black business built Parrish Street into 'Black Wall Street', home of North Carolina Mutual Life Insurance and Mechanics and Farmers Bank, and where the Durham Freeway was cut through Hayti, the Black neighborhood south of downtown, in the late 1960s; the last American Tobacco factory closed in 1987, and its warehouses are now offices, apartments and restaurants (Wikipedia). Today it is North Carolina's fourth city, with 305,561 people, only 3,106 behind Greensboro and growing more than twice as fast, a city whose largest employer by far is Duke University and Duke Health, whose labor market reaches into Research Triangle Park, and where almost half of the college students are graduate students. Next to Raleigh, about 18 miles southeast, it shares the airport and the climate, the same household income within the margins (about $83,000) and a higher share of owners, more bus riders per resident and a higher violent crime rate, 510 per 100,000 on the FBI's 2025 counts, about one and a half times the state's, though that was its lowest count since 2019 and 16.5% below 2024. Its homes cost a little less than Raleigh's on Zillow's index ($389,634 against $428,671) and the realtors' MLS median is $424,990, and its property tax is new: the County reset every value to market in 2025, so a City address pays 101.63 cents per $100 for 2026-27 on values that are close to what houses sell for.