Ottawa vs Toronto: which should you move to?
Ottawa or Toronto? Housing, rent, crime, climate, income, taxes and transit, side by side, from each city's own published figures. Written for someone deciding where to live, not for a ranking.
Taxes, health care and schooling are the same province, so this comes down to housing against opportunity. Ottawa's composite benchmark was $634,000 in July 2026 and Toronto's $928,200, a 46 percent gap that turns into about $1,280 a month on the mortgage and $11,800 more in land transfer tax at purchase. Ottawa's city median household income is also higher, $102,000 against $84,000 in 2020. Toronto answers with a far larger job market, a subway that a quarter of residents commute on, and a 47 million passenger airport. Choose Ottawa if you want a detached house on two ordinary salaries and can live with a federal-government town. Choose Toronto if your career needs the country's largest market.
| Measure | Ottawa | Toronto | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| City population | 1,188,114 (2025) | 2,794,356 (2021) | Not directly comparable |
| Metro population | 1,700,014 (2025) | 6,202,225 (2021) | Not directly comparable |
| Five-year growth Growth is pressure on rents and roads as much as it is opportunity, so it is reported without a winner. | 8.9% (2016-2021) | 2.3% (2016-2021) | Not directly comparable |
What a home costs in each
The figures the two cities' rent-versus-buy and mortgage calculators run on, read from the same tables.
| Measure | Ottawa | Toronto | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark home price MLS® HPI or equivalent benchmark. Lower is treated as the advantage, which is the buyer's view rather than the owner's. | $634,000 (July 2026) | $928,200 (July 2026) | Ottawa |
| Detached house benchmark | $725,000 | $1,455,200 | Ottawa |
| Apartment or condominium benchmark | $385,500 | $551,900 | Ottawa |
| Two-bedroom rent | $1,916/mo (average, October 2025) | $2,045/mo (average, October 2025) | Ottawa |
| One-bedroom rent | $1,593/mo | $1,761/mo | Ottawa |
| Two-bedroom rent against median income A year of two-bedroom rent as a share of the median household income below. A household paying the median rent out of the median income is a fiction, but it is the same fiction in both columns and it crosses currencies. | 22.5% of a year's income | 29.2% of a year's income | Ottawa |
| Mortgage payment on the benchmark, 20% down 25-year amortization on Canadian semi-annual compounding, the convention in both. | $2,762/mo at 4.34% | $4,044/mo at 4.34% | Ottawa |
| Price to household income Benchmark price divided by the median household income below. A ratio is comparable across currencies; the dollars are not. | 6.2× | 11.1× | Ottawa |
| Property tax on the benchmark home The effective rate on market value, which is what the two rates have in common and what the Advantage column is decided on; the bills are in each city's own dollars. | $5,262/yr (0.83%, 2026) | $5,291/yr (0.57%, 2026) | Toronto |
| Transfer tax on the benchmark home Compared as a share of the price. Where the seller pays it, it is a cost of leaving rather than arriving. | $9,155 (buyer pays) | $30,078 (buyer pays) | Ottawa |
| Rent control A cap protects a sitting tenant and does nothing for the next lease, so neither column is simply better. | 2.1% guideline (2026) | 2.1% guideline (2026) | Not directly comparable |
Ottawa: About 0.83% of market value. Ottawa levies roughly 1.26%, but against a Current Value Assessment frozen at 1 January 2016 values, because Ontario has deferred every reassessment since. The average urban home is assessed at $415,000 and pays about $5,246 in 2026, which on the $634,000 composite benchmark is 0.83%. Ottawa's municipal taxes on a representative detached house were the lowest of Ontario's ten largest cities in 2025. Toronto: About 0.57% of market value. Toronto levies 0.767311%, but against a Current Value Assessment frozen at 1 January 2016 values, because Ontario has deferred every reassessment since. MPAC's average Toronto assessment is $692,140 and the City's own worked example puts the bill on it at $5,311 for 2026, which on the $928,200 composite benchmark is 0.57%. That is the fourth-lowest rate on market value of the cities on this site, behind Vancouver, Kelowna and Victoria, and it produces almost exactly the same bill as Ottawa's 0.83%, because the home it is charged against costs 46% more.
How safe each city is, by the numbers it publishes
Police-reported figures for the most recent year each force or statistics agency has released. Rates describe a whole city or metro area, and the spread between neighbourhoods inside one city is usually wider than the gap between the two cities.
| Measure | Ottawa | Toronto | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime Severity Index Statistics Canada's weighted index for the metropolitan area, where 100 is Canada in 2006. American cities have no equivalent series. | 50.6 (2025) | 55.0 (2025) | Ottawa |
| Violent crime per 100,000 | 814 (2025) | 987 (2025) | Ottawa |
| Property crime per 100,000 | 2,835 (2025) | 2,566 (2025) | Toronto |
| Homicides Counts, not rates, and a single year in a small city moves a long way on chance alone. What each figure covers is under the table. | 21 (2025) | 45 (2025) | Not directly comparable |
The Ontario-part CSI rose from 46.85 in 2021 to 54.20 in 2023, held at 54.12 in 2024 and fell 6% to 50.61 in 2025 (table 35-10-0026-01). The violent crime rate has kept climbing, from 744 per 100k in 2021 to 814 in 2025, while property crime peaked in 2024 at 2,957 per 100k and eased to 2,835 in 2025.
What the rates cover: Total violent Criminal Code violations, rate per 100,000, Ottawa-Gatineau CMA Ontario part, table 35-10-0177-01 (10,745 incidents).
Homicides: Ottawa-Gatineau CMA Ontario part, table 35-10-0177-01; rate 1.59 per 100,000. 2024 was 27 (2.10 per 100k), the highest of the last five years.
The Toronto CMA Crime Severity Index climbed from 45.91 in 2021 to 59.43 in 2024, driven largely by auto theft, then fell 7.5% to 54.99 in 2025 with violent CSI down 13.7%. Toronto Police recorded 12,610 auto thefts in 2023, 9,676 in 2024 and 7,402 in 2025, and 2025 homicides (45) were the fewest since the 1980s.
What the rates cover: Police-reported violent Criminal Code violations, Toronto CMA, 69,297 actual incidents, table 35-10-0177-01
Homicides: Toronto Police Service public safety data portal count for the city (85 in 2024, 73 in 2023). Statistics Canada counts 64 homicides for the wider Toronto CMA in 2025, a rate of 0.91 per 100,000, down from 133 (1.90) in 2024
Winters, summers and what the weather can do to a house
| Measure | Ottawa | Toronto | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| January mean | -10.0 °C | -5.0 °C | Not directly comparable |
| July mean | 21.2 °C | 22.1 °C | Not directly comparable |
| Precipitation a year | 930 mm | 807 mm | Not directly comparable |
| Snowfall a year | 232 cm | 115 cm | Not directly comparable |
| Sunshine a year | 2,084 hours | 2,066 hours | Ottawa |
Environment and Climate Change Canada 1991-2020 normals at Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier Int'l A (climate ID 6106000). Annual mean 6.5 C, rainfall 757.2 mm. Sunshine hours are from the 1981-2010 normals at Ottawa CDA (climate ID 6105976) because the 1991-2020 airport table does not publish sunshine totals.
Hazards: Cold winters with regular snowstorms and freezing rain, spring flooding along the Ottawa River (2017 and 2019), summer heat and humidity, occasional severe thunderstorms and tornadoes (September 2018, the May 2022 derecho), and wildfire smoke episodes such as June 2023.
Environment and Climate Change Canada 1991-2020 normals at Toronto Pearson International Airport (climate ID 6158731): annual mean 8.6 C. The 1991-2020 normals do not publish sunshine; 2,066.3 hours is the 1981-2010 normal at the Toronto (City) station, climate ID 6158350.
Hazards: Humid summer heat warnings and winter cold snaps with lake-effect snow squalls; flash flooding from intense summer storms (July 2013 and July 2024 downpours flooded roads and the Don Valley); wildfire smoke advisories in some summers since 2023; occasional severe thunderstorms and hail, rare tornadoes.
What people earn and what the government takes
| Measure | Ottawa | Toronto | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median household income | $102,000 CAD (2020) | $84,000 CAD (2020) | Ottawa |
| Unemployment rate | 6.8% (July 2026) | 6.7% (July 2026) | Toronto |
| Sales tax | 13% | 13% | Even |
| Top marginal income tax Federal plus provincial or state. The American figure leaves out payroll taxes and the cost of health insurance, both of which a Canadian household covers through the tax it pays here. | 53.53% | 53.53% | Even |
| Income tax on $100,000, single filer Ottawa and Toronto sit under one province's or state's income tax, so the two cells describe the same tax and any difference between them is one of method rather than of tax. The difference here is the Ontario Health Premium, worth about $750 at this income: Ottawa's figure counts it and Toronto's own note says it leaves it out. The Advantage column is Even for that reason, and the essay below says the same thing. | $21,930 CAD | $21,200 CAD | Even |
The federal government is the anchor employer: 130,628 of 279,707 federal public servants were based in the National Capital Region at March 31, 2025, and Budget 2025 announced about 28,000 more public service job cuts by 2029. Regional unemployment ran from 6.4% in mid 2025 to 7.3% in late 2025 before easing to 6.8% in July 2026.
Main sectors: Federal public administration, Technology (Kanata North, Shopify, telecom and defence), Health care and hospitals, Post-secondary education, Tourism and national institutions.
Property tax is set by the City of Ottawa; not verified here.
Toronto's unemployment rate ran above the national rate through 2025 as population growth outpaced hiring, and TD Economics (October 2025) found trade-war exposed sectors such as transportation and warehousing and manufacturing shedding jobs and youth unemployment near one in five. The rate eased to 6.7% by July 2026.
Main sectors: Financial services and banking, Technology and software, Health care and life sciences, Professional services and education, Film, media and the arts.
No municipal income tax. Toronto levies a Municipal Land Transfer Tax on top of the provincial land transfer tax, and a Vacant Home Tax.
Whether you need a car
| Measure | Ottawa | Toronto | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| System | OC Transpo (buses, O-Train Lines 1, 2 and 4, Para Transpo); STO serves Gatineau | Toronto Transit Commission (subway, streetcar, bus, Wheel-Trans); GO Transit and UP Express (Metrolinx) for regional rail and bus | Not directly comparable |
| Commute by public transit | 11.2% (2021) | 26.2% (2021) | Toronto |
| Walk or cycle to work | 8.5% (2021) | 9.6% (2021) | Toronto |
| Airport | Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier International Airport, YOW, 4.9 million passengers in 2025, up 6% on 2024 (Ottawa International Airport Authority, 2025 results) | Toronto Pearson International Airport, YYZ, 47.3 million passengers in 2025 (up 1.1% from 46.8 million in 2024), per GTAA 2025 annual results. Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport (YTZ) serves short-haul flights from the waterfront. | Not directly comparable |
70.6 million O-Train and bus trips in 2025, up 3.9% on 2024 (OC Transpo report to Transit Committee, February 12, 2026). Ridership fell in early 2026: 11.5 million trips in January-February versus 12.4 million a year earlier.
TTC carried 420 million trips in 2024 (204 million bus, 181 million subway, 35 million streetcar). The TTC's year-end projection for 2025 was 414 million rides, about 78% of 2019 levels, with 426.4 million forecast for 2026; a final audited 2025 total was not found.
Health care, schools and what each city is like
Health care
Care is publicly funded through OHIP after a residency waiting period for newcomers, with prescription drugs, dental and vision outside the public plan for most working-age adults. The main hospitals are The Ottawa Hospital (Civic and General campuses), CHEO for children, the Queensway Carleton and Montfort; a replacement Civic campus was promised for 2028 but construction on the hospital itself had not begun as of 2026, and finding a family doctor is the hardest part of access, with the Ontario College of Family Physicians projecting 4.4 million Ontarians without one by 2026.
Education
The University of Ottawa (bilingual) and Carleton University are the large universities, with Algonquin College and La Cite for applied programs. Publicly funded schools run through four boards: the Ottawa-Carleton District School Board, the Ottawa Catholic School Board, and French-language public and Catholic boards, so French immersion and full French schooling are both widely available.
Living there
Ottawa is a government town that behaves like a mid-sized city: quiet downtown evenings, a large share of households with two stable incomes, and a weekend life built around the Rideau Canal, the Gatineau Park hills across the river and the river pathways. Winters are long and cold, with roughly 232 cm of snow in a normal year, and summers are warm and humid. The O-Train light rail has had reliability problems since it opened in 2019, and the bus network has been cut back, so most households still drive.
Health care
Care is publicly funded through the Ontario Health Insurance Plan (OHIP), which covers physician and hospital services for residents with no premiums beyond the income-tested Ontario Health Premium collected through income tax; new residents wait up to three months for coverage, and prescription drugs, dental and vision are mostly private or employer insured. Toronto is home to the University Health Network (Toronto General, Toronto Western, Princess Margaret), Sunnybrook, St. Michael's, Mount Sinai and SickKids, but family-doctor shortages and long emergency-department and specialist waits are common.
Education
The University of Toronto, Toronto Metropolitan University and York University are in the city, with U of T consistently ranked in the global top 25. Publicly funded schools are run by four boards, the Toronto District School Board (the largest in Canada), the Toronto Catholic District School Board and two French-language boards, with specialized and alternative programs rather than US-style charters.
Living there
Toronto is a dense, fast-growing city of high-rise condos along the subway lines and low-rise neighbourhoods of brick semis in between, with more than half of residents born outside Canada. Housing costs are the central fact of life, and commutes by TTC, GO train or the 401 are long. Winters are grey and cold rather than extreme, summers humid, and the lakefront, ravines and Toronto Islands are where the city goes outside.
Where each city wins, and where it loses
Both figures are in Canadian dollars. The July 2026 composite benchmark was $634,000 in Ottawa and $928,200 in Toronto, and the detached gap is wider still: $725,000 against $1,455,200. Even a Toronto apartment, $551,900, costs more than an Ottawa row house at $542,500. With 20 percent down at 4.34 percent, the benchmark mortgage is about $2,762 a month in Ottawa and $4,044 in Toronto. Property tax, oddly, lands in the same place: about $5,262 on the Ottawa benchmark and $5,291 on Toronto's, because Toronto's rate on market value (0.57 percent) is lower than Ottawa's (0.83 percent) but charged against a dearer house. Closing costs are not close. Ottawa's provincial land transfer tax on the benchmark is about $9,155; Toronto adds a municipal tax on top for a total near $30,078. Average rents in October 2025 were nearer: $1,593 for one bedroom in Ottawa and $1,761 in Toronto, $1,916 and $2,045 for two. Ontario's 2.1 percent guideline covers only units first occupied before 15 November 2018 in either city.
Statistics Canada's 2025 Crime Severity Index put the Ontario part of Ottawa-Gatineau at 50.61 and the Toronto CMA at 54.99, both well under the national 75.0. The detail matters more than the headline. Toronto's violent crime rate was 986.71 per 100,000 against Ottawa's 813.79, and Toronto's property rate was lower, 2,565.62 against 2,834.59. The trends run in opposite directions: Toronto's index climbed from 45.91 in 2021 to 59.43 in 2024 on auto theft, then fell 7.5 percent as thefts dropped from 12,610 in 2023 to 7,402 in 2025, while Ottawa's violent rate has risen every year from 744 per 100,000 in 2021 to 814 in 2025. Homicides: Ottawa recorded 21 in 2025 (1.59 per 100,000, down from 27), and Toronto Police counted 45 in the city, the fewest since the 1980s, with 64 across the CMA (0.91 per 100,000). Both are Canadian police-reported counts, so the rates are comparable with each other and much higher than any American city's figures would look.
Ottawa is the colder, snowier city by a clear margin. The 1991-2020 January mean is -10.0 C against -5.0 C at Toronto Pearson, and Ottawa's 231.9 cm of snow a year is double Toronto's 114.5 cm. Summers are similar: 21.2 C and 22.1 C in July, both humid. Sunshine is about 2,084 hours in Ottawa and 2,066 in Toronto, so the difference is cold, not gloom. For a house that means a bigger snow-clearing and heating budget in Ottawa, freezing rain that brings down branches and power lines, and spring flooding along the Ottawa River in 2017 and 2019. Ottawa also took a tornado in September 2018 and the May 2022 derecho. Toronto's hazards are flash floods from summer downpours (July 2013 and July 2024 put the Don Valley under water) and lake-effect squalls. Both saw wildfire smoke advisories from 2023. Home insurance is budgeted at $145 a month in Ottawa and $150 in Toronto, so insurers see little between them.
Ottawa's city median household income was $102,000 in 2020 (after tax $88,000), Toronto's $84,000 (after tax $74,000), with the Toronto CMA at $97,000. Ottawa's is anchored by the federal government: 130,628 of 279,707 federal public servants were in the National Capital Region at March 2025, and Budget 2025 announced about 28,000 more job cuts by 2029, which is the risk you take on. Unemployment was 6.8 percent in Ottawa-Gatineau and 6.7 percent in Toronto in July 2026, though Toronto had peaked at 9.0 percent a year earlier and youth unemployment there was near one in five. Tax is the same Ontario system: 13 percent HST, a 53.53 percent top combined rate, and roughly $21,200 to $21,930 in income tax on $100,000, the spread being whether the Ontario Health Premium is counted. There is no tax reason to prefer one city. What the tax buys is OHIP in both.
Toronto is the Canadian city where a car is most nearly optional. In the 2021 Census, 26.2 percent of city residents commuted by transit (about 37 percent in 2016, before the pandemic) and 9.6 percent walked or cycled; the TTC carried 420 million trips in 2024 and projected 414 million for 2025. GO trains and UP Express reach the suburbs and Pearson. Ottawa's share was 11.2 percent transit and 8.5 percent walking and cycling, OC Transpo carried 70.6 million trips in 2025, and the O-Train has had reliability problems since it opened in 2019 while the bus network has been cut back, so most Ottawa households drive. Commutes on the 401 and the GO lines are long, and Toronto's density does not make driving pleasant. Airports: Pearson handled 47.3 million passengers in 2025 against 4.9 million at Ottawa, so from Ottawa many international trips connect through Toronto or Montreal.
Health care is OHIP in both, with the same three-month wait for newcomers and the same gaps for drugs, dental and vision. Toronto has the country's densest concentration of teaching hospitals: University Health Network, Sunnybrook, St. Michael's, Mount Sinai and SickKids. Ottawa has The Ottawa Hospital, CHEO and the Montfort, and a replacement Civic campus promised for 2028 had not started construction as of 2026. Family doctors are scarce in both; the Ontario College of Family Physicians projected 4.4 million Ontarians without one by 2026. Schools run through four publicly funded boards in each city, English and French, public and Catholic, so French immersion is widely available; Ottawa adds the bilingual University of Ottawa and Carleton, Toronto has U of T, TMU and York. Daily life differs in pace: Ottawa is quiet in the evenings with weekends on the canal and in Gatineau Park; Toronto is dense, more than half its residents born outside Canada, with the ravines, lakefront and islands as its outdoors.
The thing people underestimate is that Ottawa's advantage is almost entirely the price of the house, and that advantage has a single employer behind it. Two federal salaries buy a $725,000 detached house in Ottawa comfortably; the same two salaries in Toronto buy a $551,900 apartment with a $680 monthly condo fee. But if the 28,000 announced cuts land on your household, Ottawa's job market is much thinner than Toronto's, and its unemployment rate already ran to 7.3 percent in late 2025. Toronto's counter-risk is the entry ticket: $30,078 in land transfer tax on the benchmark, a $4,044 payment, and a two-bedroom rent of $2,045 that only a pre-2018 building caps.
Better here
- The composite benchmark was $634,000 in July 2026 against $928,200 in Toronto, and a detached house at $725,000 costs half of Toronto's $1,455,200.
- The benchmark mortgage is about $2,762 a month at 20 percent down, roughly $1,280 less than Toronto's $4,044.
- Land transfer tax on the benchmark is about $9,155; Toronto's provincial plus municipal total is about $30,078.
- The city median household income was $102,000 in 2020, against $84,000 in the City of Toronto.
- Average rents in October 2025 were $1,593 for one bedroom and $1,916 for two, about $130 to $170 below Toronto.
- The 2025 Crime Severity Index of 50.61 was below Toronto's 54.99, and the violent crime rate of 813.79 per 100,000 was under Toronto's 986.71.
Worse here
- January averages -10.0 C with 231.9 cm of snow a year, against -5.0 C and 114.5 cm in Toronto.
- Only 11.2 percent of residents commuted by transit in 2021 against 26.2 percent in Toronto, and the O-Train has been unreliable since 2019.
- The federal government employs 130,628 people in the region and announced about 28,000 more cuts by 2029.
- Unemployment was 6.8 percent in July 2026 after reaching 7.3 percent in late 2025.
- The violent crime rate has risen every year from 744 per 100,000 in 2021 to 814 in 2025.
- Ottawa airport handled 4.9 million passengers in 2025 against Pearson's 47.3 million, so long-haul flights usually connect.
Choose Ottawa if
- you earn two steady salaries and want a detached house under $750,000
- you work for or sell to the federal government and accept that exposure
- you want French schooling or immersion as a default option rather than a lottery
- you do not mind driving and would rather have snow than a two-hour commute
The Ottawa guide · Neighbourhoods · Ottawa rent vs buy · Ottawa mortgage calculator
Better here
- A quarter of city residents (26.2 percent in 2021) commute by transit and the TTC carried 420 million trips in 2024, with GO and UP Express for the region.
- The job market is the largest in the country, and unemployment fell from 9.0 percent in July 2025 to 6.7 percent in July 2026.
- Homicides fell to 45 in 2025, the fewest since the 1980s, and auto thefts dropped from 12,610 in 2023 to 7,402.
- Pearson handled 47.3 million passengers in 2025, with Billy Bishop on the waterfront for short-haul.
- Winters are milder: a -5.0 C January mean and 114.5 cm of snow, half Ottawa's.
- Property tax on the benchmark is about $5,291, a rate on market value of 0.57 percent, well under Ottawa's 0.83 percent.
Worse here
- The composite benchmark was $928,200 in July 2026 and a detached house $1,455,200, double Ottawa's.
- The benchmark mortgage is about $4,044 a month, and the land transfer tax at purchase is about $30,078 with the municipal levy.
- The city median household income was $84,000 in 2020, $18,000 below Ottawa's despite far higher housing costs.
- The violent crime rate of 986.71 per 100,000 in 2025 was above Ottawa's 813.79.
- Condo fees average $680 a month against $560 in Ottawa, and an apartment at $551,900 costs more than an Ottawa row house.
- Youth unemployment was near one in five in late 2025 as population growth outran hiring.
Choose Toronto if
- you work in finance, technology, media or a specialism that only the largest market supports
- you want to live without a car and will pay for a condo near the subway
- you are willing to rent at $1,761 for one bedroom for years rather than buy
- you want the hospitals, universities and immigrant communities of the country's biggest city
The Toronto guide · Neighbourhoods · Toronto rent vs buy · Toronto mortgage calculator
Ottawa or Toronto, in short
Is Ottawa or Toronto cheaper to live in?
Ottawa, and mostly because of housing. The July 2026 composite benchmark was $634,000 in Ottawa and $928,200 in Toronto, giving benchmark mortgages of about $2,762 and $4,044 a month at 20 percent down. Land transfer tax is about $9,155 in Ottawa and $30,078 in Toronto. Rents are closer: $1,593 against $1,761 for one bedroom and $1,916 against $2,045 for two in October 2025. Property tax is nearly identical at about $5,262 and $5,291, and income and sales tax are the same Ontario system, so nothing offsets the housing gap.
Is Ottawa or Toronto safer?
On the 2025 Crime Severity Index they are close and both low: 50.61 for the Ontario part of Ottawa-Gatineau and 54.99 for the Toronto CMA, against 75.0 for Canada. Ottawa's violent crime rate was lower, 813.79 per 100,000 against 986.71, but its property rate was higher, 2,834.59 against 2,565.62. Homicide rates were 1.59 per 100,000 in Ottawa and 0.91 across the Toronto CMA. Toronto's numbers improved sharply in 2025 as auto theft fell; Ottawa's violent rate has climbed every year since 2021.
Which has the better climate, Ottawa or Toronto?
Toronto, unless you ski. Its January mean is -5.0 C against -10.0 C in Ottawa, and it gets 114.5 cm of snow a year against 231.9 cm. July is similar at 22.1 C and 21.2 C, and sunshine is nearly equal, about 2,066 and 2,084 hours. Ottawa adds freezing rain, spring river flooding (2017 and 2019) and the 2022 derecho; Toronto's worst weather is flash flooding from summer downpours, as in July 2024. Both get wildfire smoke in some summers now.
How exposed is Ottawa to federal job cuts?
Heavily. At March 2025, 130,628 of 279,707 federal public servants were in the National Capital Region, and Budget 2025 announced about 28,000 more cuts across the public service by 2029. Regional unemployment already rose from 6.4 percent in mid 2025 to 7.3 percent in late 2025 before easing to 6.8 percent in July 2026. Ottawa's $102,000 median household income and its affordable detached houses rest on that payroll, so a household with two federal incomes should think about what happens if one goes.
Where the figures come from
Housing figures are the ones behind each city's calculators, dated on those pages. The rest are listed here with the date they were retrieved. See the methodology for how facts, estimates and opinion are kept apart.
- Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population: Ottawa, City (CSD) and Ottawa-Gatineau (Ontario part) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: population.city (2021 count), Five-year growth, Median household income, Transit commute share, Walk and cycle commute share
- Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population: Ottawa-Gatineau (CMA) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: population.metro (2021 count), population.growthPct5y (CMA)
- Population estimates, July 1, by census subdivision, 2021 boundaries (table 17-10-0155-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: City population
- Population estimates, July 1, by census metropolitan area and census agglomeration, 2021 boundaries (table 17-10-0148-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Metro population
- Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, Canada, provinces, territories and Census Metropolitan Areas (table 35-10-0026-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Crime Severity Index, Crime trend
- Police-reported Crime Severity Index and crime rate, by census metropolitan area, 2025 · Statistics Canada, The Daily · retrieved Supports: Crime Severity Index, crime.propertyRatePer100k (all-crime rate context)
- Incident-based crime statistics, by detailed violations, Canada, provinces, territories, CMAs (table 35-10-0177-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Violent crime rate, Property crime rate, Homicides, Crime trend
- Ottawa crime rate increases in 2025, remains above Ontario average · Yahoo News Canada (Ottawa Police Service KPI report to the Police Services Board, January 26, 2026) · retrieved Supports: crime.index (OPS city CSI 55.8)
- Canadian Climate Normals 1991-2020, Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier Int'l A · Environment and Climate Change Canada · retrieved Supports: January mean, July mean, Annual precipitation, Annual snowfall
- Canadian Climate Normals 1981-2010, Ottawa CDA · Environment and Climate Change Canada · retrieved Supports: Sunshine hours
- Labour force characteristics by census metropolitan area, three-month moving average, seasonally adjusted (table 14-10-0459-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Unemployment rate, Labour market
- Labour Force Survey, July 2026 · Statistics Canada, The Daily · retrieved Supports: economy.unemploymentPct (Canada and Ontario comparison)
- Federal government to cut another 28,000 public service jobs by 2029 · CTV News Ottawa · retrieved Supports: Labour market
- Federal Government Jobs in Ottawa: 2026 Hiring Guide (citing Public Service Commission counts at March 31, 2025) · Via Ottawa · retrieved Supports: economy.note (NCR public servant count)
- 2025 and 2026 Combined Federal and Ontario Tax Rates Including Surtaxes · TaxTips.ca · retrieved Supports: Top marginal income tax, Income tax on $100,000
- Ontario Health Premium · TaxTips.ca · retrieved Supports: Income tax on $100,000
- 2025 Non-Refundable Personal Tax Credits, Base Amounts · TaxTips.ca · retrieved Supports: Income tax on $100,000
- Recap: February 12, 2026 Transit Committee · OC Transpo · retrieved Supports: Transit ridership
- OC Transpo sees drop in ridership to start 2026 · CTV News Ottawa · retrieved Supports: transit.ridershipNote (early 2026)
- A transformational year: Ottawa Airport Authority reports 2025 results · Ottawa International Airport Authority · retrieved Supports: Airport passengers
- More Than Four Million Ontarians Will Be Without a Family Doctor by 2026 · Ontario College of Family Physicians · retrieved Supports: Health care
- New Ottawa Civic hospital opening likely delayed by years, says project consultant · CBC News · retrieved Supports: Health care
- Population and dwelling counts: Census metropolitan areas, census agglomerations and census subdivisions (table 98-10-0003-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Metro population, Five-year growth
- Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population, Toronto, City (CSD), Ontario (98-401-X2021005 CSV) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: City population, Five-year growth, Median household income, Transit commute share, Walk and cycle commute share
- Household income statistics by dwelling and household characteristics, census metropolitan areas (table 98-10-0061-01) · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Median household income
- The Daily: Police-reported crime statistics in Canada, 2025 · Statistics Canada · retrieved Supports: Crime Severity Index, Crime trend
- Homicides Open Data (ArcGIS feature service, Public Safety Data Portal) · Toronto Police Service · retrieved Supports: Homicides, Crime trend
- Auto Theft Open Data (ArcGIS feature service, Public Safety Data Portal) · Toronto Police Service · retrieved Supports: Crime trend
- Murders dropped sharply in several major Canadian cities last year, data show · The Globe and Mail · retrieved Supports: Homicides
- Canadian Climate Normals 1991-2020, Toronto Pearson (Airport) · Environment and Climate Change Canada · retrieved Supports: January mean, July mean, Annual precipitation, Annual snowfall
- Canadian Climate Normals 1981-2010, Toronto (City) · Environment and Climate Change Canada · retrieved Supports: Sunshine hours
- Hogtown Blues: Toronto's Lagging Jobs Market · TD Economics · retrieved Supports: Labour market
- Ontario sales tax: 13% HST rates, registration, and compliance guide · Xero · retrieved Supports: Sales tax
- 34 billion rides and counting: the TTC reaches new service milestone · Toronto Transit Commission · retrieved Supports: Transit ridership
- TTC ridership declined this past fall, despite stricter return-to-office policies for workers · CP24 · retrieved Supports: Transit ridership
- GTAA Reports 2025 Annual Results · Greater Toronto Airports Authority (via Newswire) · retrieved Supports: Airport passengers
- MLS® Home Price Index: Ottawa Real Estate Board, July 2026 · Canadian Real Estate Association / Ottawa Real Estate Board · retrieved Supports: Composite MLS® HPI benchmark of $634,000 in July 2026, down 0.5% year over year, Single-family benchmark of $725,000, up 0.7% year over year, Townhouse and row benchmark of $542,500, down 5.1% year over year, Apartment benchmark of $385,500, down 5.2% year over year, 1,325 sales and 4,678 active listings in July 2026
- Rental Market Survey: Ottawa, average rent by bedroom type, October 2025 · Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation · retrieved Supports: Ottawa average purpose-built rents of $1,332 studio, $1,593 one-bedroom, $1,916 two-bedroom and $2,090 three-bedroom-plus, An overall average of $1,743 across 89,170 purpose-built units, Year-over-year increases of 3.4% on one- and two-bedroom units and 3.9% overall, Average rent of $2,320 in buildings completed in 2000 or later against $1,529 in buildings from before 1960
- Rental Market Statistics Summary: Ottawa (CV), October 2025 · Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation · retrieved Supports: City of Ottawa purpose-built vacancy rate of 2.9% across 86,550 units, City of Ottawa average rent of $1,741 and median rent of $1,675
- 2026 Tax Policy and Other Revenue Matters · City of Ottawa, Revenue Services · retrieved Supports: Ontario's last province-wide reassessment was completed in 2016 and municipalities rely on 2016 assessment values for the 2026 tax year, The average urban Ottawa home is assessed at $415,000, A 2026 net municipal increase of $184 on that home: $166 from the 3.75% budget increase and $18 from the multi-residential ratio change, The 2026 budget was approved on 10 December 2025 with a 3.75% overall municipal tax increase, Ottawa's 2025 average municipal taxes on a representative two-storey detached house were $5,490, the lowest of Ontario's ten largest municipalities
- Education property tax rates · Government of Ontario · retrieved Supports: The residential education tax rate of 0.153% of assessed value, unchanged since 2020
- Premium information for homeowner and small rental loans · Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation · retrieved Supports: Mortgage default insurance premium rates by loan-to-value
- Regulations amending the Insurable Housing Loan Regulations and the Eligible Mortgage Loan Regulations (SOR/2025-55) · Canada Gazette, Part II · retrieved Supports: The $1.5 million insured price cap, 30-year amortization for first-time buyers and new builds
- Minimum qualifying rate for uninsured mortgages · Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions · retrieved Supports: The qualifying rate of the contract rate plus two points, or 5.25%
- Interest rates charged for new and existing lending by chartered banks · Bank of Canada · retrieved Supports: The default mortgage rate of 4.34%, uninsured five-year-plus fixed, funds advanced May 2026
- Calculating Land Transfer Tax · Ontario Ministry of Finance · retrieved Supports: Provincial transfer tax brackets, The conditional 2.5% band
- Municipal Land Transfer Tax rates and fees · City of Toronto · retrieved Supports: Toronto municipal transfer tax brackets, First-time buyer rebate
- Residential rent increases · Government of Ontario · retrieved Supports: 2026 rent increase guideline of 2.1%, The 2018 occupancy exemption
- Retail Sales Tax · Government of Ontario · retrieved Supports: 8% retail sales tax on insurance premiums
- Market Watch, July 2026 · Toronto Regional Real Estate Board · retrieved Supports: A City of Toronto MLS® HPI composite benchmark of $928,200 in July 2026, down 3.83% year over year, City of Toronto benchmarks of $1,455,200 single-family detached (down 4.40%), $1,146,300 single-family attached (down 4.00%), $725,300 townhouse (down 5.75%) and $551,900 apartment (down 7.09%), An All TRREB Areas composite benchmark of $934,600, down 4.63%, covering the region rather than the City, A GTA average selling price of $1,003,956 in July 2026, down 4.5% year over year, 5,995 sales, 14,484 new listings (down 17.8%) and 26,098 active listings (down 12.1%) in July 2026, District benchmarks for Toronto C02 ($1,302,900 composite, detached down 2.15%, apartment down 14.65%), C14 ($888,100), E07 ($735,600) and W06 ($814,300)
- Rental Market Survey: Toronto, average rent by bedroom type, October 2025 · Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation · retrieved Supports: Toronto CMA average purpose-built rents of $1,491 bachelor, $1,761 one-bedroom, $2,045 two-bedroom and $2,294 three-bedroom-plus, An overall purpose-built average of $1,917, A Toronto CMA purpose-built vacancy rate of 3.0%, the highest since 2021
- Property tax rates and fees, 2026 · City of Toronto · retrieved Supports: A 2026 total residential rate of 0.767311%: 0.605295% city, 0.153% education and 0.009016% City Building Fund, The City's own worked example of $692,140 of assessment at 0.767311%, which is $5,311, Education rates set by the province and city rates set by council
- City of Toronto's 2026 Budget now final · City of Toronto · retrieved Supports: A combined 2026 residential property tax and City Building Fund increase of 2.2%, MPAC's average Toronto current value assessment of $692,140, An increase of $91.53 a year, or $7.63 a month, on that average assessment
